The key points
Thank you to all our panel guests and to everyone who sent in questions – sorry we could not answer all of them in the time we had available. For those catching up on the debate after it has finished, here are the key points:
- Smartphones are the biggest driver of change in transport
- Public transport needs to learn from the success of car-sharing
- We can expect more cars in cities like São Paulo and Manila
- People often don’t take the easiest or quickest route to work
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The future of commuting? In an idea world it would be walking, says Greg Lindsay...
Commuting is outdated
While we rarely want to live and work in the same place, the notion of commuting daily to the same office is becoming outdated, argue Shaun Larcom and Greg Lindsay.
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Greg Lindsay is also curious about what we can learn from the informal transport world.
You can read more about the rise of electric rickshaws around the world here:
What we can learn from Uber
Back to public transport, Greg Lindsay argues there are lessons that it can learn from Uber and co.
One answer, suggests Chris Joyce, is better integration between services.
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Behaviour change
In answer to a question about how to improve transport in cities, Shaun Larcom argues that commuters often don’t choose the easiest or optimum route to work or home...
If you’re interested in the research he is referring to in this answer you can find it here.
Modern transport and housing also encourage some really quite unusual commuting patterns...
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What about public transport?
Greg Lindsay says public transport needs to play catch-up:
“My biggest fear is that autonomous cars (which will happen because the the tech is maturing and the social mandate to save lives lost in traffic collisions will demand it) and private mobility services will fatally undermine public transport in favour of private mobility services.”
However, he still expects public transport to dominate cities in the future...
As does Ed Jones, from Nissan:
And Chris Joyce from Heathrow:
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Smartphones are driving change
“Cities are always created around whatever the state-of-the-art transportation device is at the time. Today, the state-of-the-art in transportation is the smartphone.”
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It's still all about cars
Greg Lindsay from the New Cities Foundation can only see one future: cars. And lots of them.
What’s more, Uber and driverless technology could see “the end of buses and taxis as we know them” as well as “car ownership,” argues Shaun Larcom, from Cambridge University.
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Hello and welcome to this live Q&A on the future of commuting. I will be posting highlights of the debate here. You can follow the entire debate in the comments section on this page. The debate will begin shortly.
Ahead of today’s debate, US tech journalist Mark Harris has written a piece for us about the growth electric aircraft. As well as offering the potential for lower emissions, Nasa and a host of aviation startups are developing aircraft that don’t need runways. By 2030 we could see a growing market for commuting through the sky...
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Who was on the panel
The panel for this debate was:
Greg Lindsay, senior fellow at New Cities Foundation
Shaun Larcom, lecturer at Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance at Cambridge University and author of paper on commuting behaviour
Chris Joyce, head of surface access strategy at Heathrow Airport
Ed Jones, Electric Vehicles (EV) manager, Nissan GB
Erdem Ovacik, co-founder of Donkey Republic, a startup described as “Uber for bicycles” that is building the first global bike-sharing system
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The debate topic
We ran a debate on the future of commuting – on 20 July, 1-2pm (BST) – digging into issues including:
- How our daily commute to work could change in the future
- What new transport technologies/ideas are being developed
- How we can redesign cities and transport to make travelling easier and more sustainable
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The best way to commute remains walking. And I'm cheered a bit by the fact that here in America, there is a growing preference (as seen in rents and housing prices) toward infilling auto-dependent suburbs with more walkable, mixed-use environments. The only way to create a more humane commute over the long run is through significant changes in land uses, and that may take a while.